For 27 years, Martin Hutchinson was an international merchant banker in London, New York, and Zagreb. He ran derivatives platforms for two European banks before serving as director of a Spanish venture capital company, advisor to the Korean company Sunkyong, and chairman of a U.S. modular building company. In Zagreb, he established the Croatian debt capital markets, set up the corporate finance operations of Privredna Banka Zagreb, and arranged for the monetization of 800,000 frozen Macedonian foreign currency savings accounts. He has been a financial journalist for over 14 years, and is the author of Great Conservatives and co-author of Alchemists of Loss, which details the causes and consequences of the 2008 financial crash. He currently publishes a weekly column called The Bear’s Lair, in which he comments on the economy and market. He is also a correspondent for Reuters’ BreakingViews. Martin has a first class Honors Degree from Trinity College Cambridge and an MBA from Harvard Business School.
Analysts project the biggest earnings growth for the S&P 500 since 2011 this quarter. But retail companies are bracing for pain. You see, while Amazon has soared, brick-and-mortar shops have been dying a slow death. And Target is the next victim.
Today in Friday Charts, we’re going to start with the ugliest, most depressing earnings trend in existence. Then it’s time to pivot to an opportunity hiding in a shiny, contrarian wrapper. It’s almost like a tax-day gift!